

And they can stop NATO expansion in the region with a successful attack, such that no neighbors would consider positioning NATO weapons in their countries either. has paid attention, Russia is no longer a top imperative.

#KEEP CALM AND VISIT UKRAINE PLUS#
Higher energy prices put Russia on an economic footing to prosecute this, and mean sanctions will hurt less, plus they’ve already been under sanction and Europe won’t go along with oil and gas sanctions. Instead Russian demands seem precisely meant to be impossible to meet, and to create a narrative arond which they had no choice but to attack. And it doesn’t seem like Putin put it out there expecting to back down, merely to extract concessions. This kind of buildup can’t be maintained indefinitely – it’s use it or back down. His goal isn’t simply to extend the period of his rule. Power appears to be his goal, and deterrence is loss of power. But rather than deterring Putin, that could force his hand into military action. If it’s a bluff, then hands off to the Russians for making sure they get every tiny detail right. That includes air defense, tanks, artillery, mine sweepers, and massive logistics. A vast majority of the Russian battalion tactical groups have been moved. The Crimean military buildup is substantively different than in the past. …”We had fewer tourists this month, one and a half times less clients than usual,” said Maryna, a worker at a Cherynobyl tour agency. “There is too little positive news in the information space today,” explains the press release, which exhorts people to visit “majestic Kyiv, sleepless Kharkiv, fragrant Lviv, cozy Chernivtsi, exciting Odesa, mighty Zaporizhzhia, amazing Kherson.” … “The country is open and safe for tourists,” the statement concludes. Their position is there’s “no reason to panic” because “situation on the Ukrainian border remains under control.” The Visit Ukraine tourism board is pushing a new slogan as the nation prepares to be invaded by Russia: “Keep calm and visit Ukraine.”
